735 বাংলাদেশের স্বাধীনতা যুদ্ধ দলিলপত্রঃ ষষ্ঠ খণ্ড শিরোনাম সংবাদপত্র তারিখ Bangladesh Victory Bangladesh 15 October, 1971 is Certain Vol. 1 : No. 7 OUR READERS SPEAK 10 REASONS WHY BANGLADESH VICTORY IS CERTAIN Military 1. West Pakistan's occupation army in Bangladesh is unfamiliar with the terrain, unaccustomed to the climate and ignorant of the local language and customs. After the massacres of Bengalis committed by the West Pakistan troops, the only local support it can get is from the small immigrant community, mostly Biharis. 2. Pakistan's forces in Bangladesh cannot be increased beyong 100,000 in the foreseeable future without endangering the security of West Pakistan, unless it is prepared to extend the recruitment base of the army. But the Pubjabi-controlled army (more than 85%) is not keen to give military training to non-Punjabis for fear of armed insurrection among minority groups (Sindhis, Baluchis, Pathans). The army has been obliged to introduce virtual conscription in the so-called "martial" districts of Punjab. 3. Facting this army is the Mukti Bahini (liberation forces) which is rapidly growing in number, gaining in combat experience and using increasingly sophisticated arms and equipment. By the end of the year, the Mukti Bahini will be able to field a force larger than the occupation forces. It is well-known that even to contain guerilla forces a conventional army needs to be at least five times larger. Economic 4. West Pakistan has a deficit economy. It is heavily dependent on revenues and foreign exchange earnings from East Pakistan. West Pakistan cannot get foreign exchange from East Pakistan anymore, nor can it use East as a captive market for its overpriced goods. 5. Foreign aid to Pakistan, the lion's share of which was appropriated for West Pakistan, has been practically cut off by Western donor countries (except the United States) resulting in a loss of $ half billion in foreign exchange, which is one-half of Pakistan's annual import bill. The mood of the U. S. Congress after genocide in Bangladesh in to bar all U. S. aid to Pakistan until the situation becomes normal. Chinese aid is small in volume and is not given in hard currency. 6. Military expenditure has increased from $ 400 million in 1965 to $ 800 million a year now. Most of the war materials have to be imported, causing a heavy drain on limited foreign exchange. Whatever production of military material takes place domestically, it is in West Pakistan. Therefore, all the arms, equipment etc., have to be
